Forced and chaotic ocean variability: toward probabilistic oceanography.

›8:30 (30min)

Registration — Welcome

8:30 - 9:00 (30min)

Registration — Welcome

(Coffee & pastries available)

›9:00 (1h30)

Ocean intrinsic variability : observations and Dynamical System Theories

› Lliboutry conference room

9:00 - 10:30 (1h30)

Ocean intrinsic variability : observations and Dynamical System Theories

Lliboutry conference room

› Evidence of intrinsic ocean variability in the Kuroshio Extension dynamics - Stefano Pierini, CoNISMa, DiST, University of Naples Parthenope 09:00-09:20 (20min)

› Interannual Variability of Gulf Stream Dynamics from Atlimetry - Laure Zanna, Oxford 09:20-09:40 (20min)

› The Wind-Driven Ocean Circulation: Forced, Chaotic and Random - Michael Ghil, PSL Research University, University of California, Los Angeles 09:40-10:00 (20min)

› Characterizing mixing resulting from forcing of nonlinear systems, with an application to ENSO predictability - Alexis Tantet, Meteorologisches Institut, Hamburg University 10:00-10:20 (20min)

›10:30 (30min)

Coffee break

› Lliboutry conference room

10:30 - 11:00 (30min)

Coffee break

Lliboutry conference room

›11:00 (1h30)

Waves, eddies, instabilities, intrinsic variability

› Lliboutry conference room

11:00 - 12:30 (1h30)

Waves, eddies, instabilities, intrinsic variability

Lliboutry conference room

› Horizontal structure of unstable basin modes due to large scale baroclinic instability. - Thierry Huck, Laboratoire de physique des océans 11:00-11:20 (20min)

› Topological Origin of Geophysical Waves - Antoine Venaille, Laboratoire de Physique de l'ENS Lyon 11:20-11:40 (20min)

› Life cycles of oceanic stormtracks - Remi Tailleux, Meteorology Department, University of Reading 11:40-12:00 (20min)

› Characterization of Oceanic Turbulence in a Multiple-Scale Model - Bruno Deremble, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique 12:00-12:20 (20min)

›12:30 (1h30)

Lunch

› Lliboutry conference room

12:30 - 14:00 (1h30)

Lunch

Lliboutry conference room

›14:00 (1h30)

Intrinsic variability : energetics

› Lliboutry conference room

14:00 - 15:30 (1h30)

Intrinsic variability : energetics

Lliboutry conference room

› Intrinsic eddy variability in the ocean diagnosed from the Lorenz energy cycle - Sybren Drijfhout, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, University of Southampton 14:00-14:20 (20min)

› Inverse cascades of kinetic energy as a source of intrinsic variability: global OGCM study - Guillaume SERAZIN, Laboratoire d'études en Géophysique et océanographie spatiales, Laboratoire de glaciologie et géophysique de l'environnement, Centre Européen de Recherche et de Formation Avancée en Calcul Scientifique 14:20-14:40 (20min)

› Frequency-domain analysis of forced versus intrinsic ocean surface kinetic energy variability in GFDL's CM2-O Model Hierarchy - Amanda O'Rourke, University of Michigan 14:40-15:00 (20min)

› Oceanic chaos modulated by the atmosphere: insights from the OCCIPUT ensemble simulation - Thierry Penduff, Laboratoire de glaciologie et géophysique de l'environnement 15:00-15:20 (20min)

›15:30 (30min)

Coffee break

› Lliboutry conference room

15:30 - 16:00 (30min)

Coffee break

Lliboutry conference room

›16:00 (1h30)

Posters

› Lliboutry conference room

16:00 - 17:30 (1h30)

Posters

Lliboutry conference room

› A global probabilistic study of the Ocean Heat Content low-frequency variability: atmospheric forcing versus oceanic chaos - Guillaume SERAZIN, Laboratoire d'études en Géophysique et océanographie spatiales, Laboratoire de glaciologie et géophysique de l'environnement, Centre Européen de Recherche et de Formation Avancée en Calcul Scientifique 16:00-17:30 (1h30)

› Can the atmospheric variability damp the low-frequency intrinsic variability? Example of the AMOC in the North Atlantic subtropics. - Stéphanie Leroux, IGE MEOM 16:00-17:30 (1h30)

› Influence of horizontal and vertical model resolution on ocean variability in idealized double-gyre setting - Thierry Huck, Laboratoire de physique des océans 16:00-17:30 (1h30)

› Low-frequency modes of the coupled ocean–atmosphere dynamics over the North Atlantic: Modeling and observations - Michael GHIL, Ecole Normale Supérieure and PSL Research University, Paris 16:00-17:30 (1h30)

› Numerical Implementation of the Multiple-Scale Model - Bruno Deremble, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique 16:00-17:30 (1h30)

› Perturbation of an idealised coupled ocean-atmosphere model using breeding vectors - Chris Wilson, National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, U.K. 16:00-17:30 (1h30)

› Quantifying uncertainties on regional sea level change induced by multi-decadal intrinsic oceanic variability - Thierry Penduff, IGE MEOM 16:00-17:30 (1h30)

› Stochastic Coastal/Regional Uncertainty Modelling: a Copernicus marine research project in the framework of Service Evolution - Vassilios Vervatis, University of Athens, Greece 16:00-17:30 (1h30)

› The non-autonomous behavior of a low-order ocean model and its pullback attractors - Stefano Pierini, CoNISMa, DiST, University of Naples Parthenope 16:00-17:30 (1h30)

›18:30 (3h30)

Drinks and dinner downtown Grenoble

18:30 - 22:00 (3h30)

Drinks and dinner downtown Grenoble