Planning

Thursday, April 20, 2017

Time Event  
08:30 - 09:00 Registration — Welcome - (Coffee & pastries available)  
09:00 - 10:30 Ocean intrinsic variability : observations and Dynamical System Theories (Lliboutry conference room)  
09:00 - 09:20 › Evidence of intrinsic ocean variability in the Kuroshio Extension dynamics - Stefano Pierini, CoNISMa, DiST, University of Naples Parthenope  
09:20 - 09:40 › Interannual Variability of Gulf Stream Dynamics from Atlimetry - Laure Zanna, Oxford  
09:40 - 10:00 › The Wind-Driven Ocean Circulation: Forced, Chaotic and Random - Michael Ghil, PSL Research University, University of California, Los Angeles  
10:00 - 10:20 › Characterizing mixing resulting from forcing of nonlinear systems, with an application to ENSO predictability - Alexis Tantet, Meteorologisches Institut, Hamburg University  
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break (Lliboutry conference room)  
11:00 - 12:30 Waves, eddies, instabilities, intrinsic variability (Lliboutry conference room)  
11:00 - 11:20 › Horizontal structure of unstable basin modes due to large scale baroclinic instability. - Thierry Huck, Laboratoire de physique des océans  
11:20 - 11:40 › Topological Origin of Geophysical Waves - Antoine Venaille, Laboratoire de Physique de l'ENS Lyon  
11:40 - 12:00 › Life cycles of oceanic stormtracks - Remi Tailleux, Meteorology Department, University of Reading  
12:00 - 12:20 › Characterization of Oceanic Turbulence in a Multiple-Scale Model - Bruno Deremble, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique  
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch (Lliboutry conference room)  
14:00 - 15:30 Intrinsic variability : energetics (Lliboutry conference room)  
14:00 - 14:20 › Intrinsic eddy variability in the ocean diagnosed from the Lorenz energy cycle - Sybren Drijfhout, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, University of Southampton  
14:20 - 14:40 › Inverse cascades of kinetic energy as a source of intrinsic variability: global OGCM study - Guillaume SERAZIN, Laboratoire d'études en Géophysique et océanographie spatiales, Laboratoire de glaciologie et géophysique de l'environnement, Centre Européen de Recherche et de Formation Avancée en Calcul Scientifique  
14:40 - 15:00 › Frequency-domain analysis of forced versus intrinsic ocean surface kinetic energy variability in GFDL's CM2-O Model Hierarchy - Amanda O'Rourke, University of Michigan  
15:00 - 15:20 › Oceanic chaos modulated by the atmosphere: insights from the OCCIPUT ensemble simulation - Thierry Penduff, Laboratoire de glaciologie et géophysique de l'environnement  
15:30 - 16:00 Coffee break (Lliboutry conference room)  
16:00 - 17:30 Posters (Lliboutry conference room)  
16:00 - 17:30 › A global probabilistic study of the Ocean Heat Content low-frequency variability: atmospheric forcing versus oceanic chaos - Guillaume SERAZIN, Laboratoire d'études en Géophysique et océanographie spatiales, Laboratoire de glaciologie et géophysique de l'environnement, Centre Européen de Recherche et de Formation Avancée en Calcul Scientifique  
16:00 - 17:30 › Can the atmospheric variability damp the low-frequency intrinsic variability? Example of the AMOC in the North Atlantic subtropics. - Stéphanie Leroux, IGE MEOM  
16:00 - 17:30 › Influence of horizontal and vertical model resolution on ocean variability in idealized double-gyre setting - Thierry Huck, Laboratoire de physique des océans  
16:00 - 17:30 › Low-frequency modes of the coupled ocean–atmosphere dynamics over the North Atlantic: Modeling and observations - Michael GHIL, Ecole Normale Supérieure and PSL Research University, Paris
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16:00 - 17:30 › Numerical Implementation of the Multiple-Scale Model - Bruno Deremble, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique  
16:00 - 17:30 › Perturbation of an idealised coupled ocean-atmosphere model using breeding vectors - Chris Wilson, National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, U.K.  
16:00 - 17:30 › Quantifying uncertainties on regional sea level change induced by multi-decadal intrinsic oceanic variability - Thierry Penduff, IGE MEOM  
16:00 - 17:30 › Stochastic Coastal/Regional Uncertainty Modelling: a Copernicus marine research project in the framework of Service Evolution - Vassilios Vervatis, University of Athens, Greece  
16:00 - 17:30 › The non-autonomous behavior of a low-order ocean model and its pullback attractors - Stefano Pierini, CoNISMa, DiST, University of Naples Parthenope  
18:30 - 22:00 Drinks and dinner downtown Grenoble  

Friday, April 21, 2017

Time Event  
09:00 - 10:30 Fingerprints of intrinsic variability in OGCMs (Lliboutry conference room)  
09:00 - 09:20 › Maintenance of the seasonal cycle and interannual variability by intra-seasonal stochastic variability in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean - Martin Claus, GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel  
09:20 - 09:40 › Does ocean intrinsic variability impact deep convection? Answers from Mediterranean sea ensemble simulations. - Robin Waldman, Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques  
09:40 - 10:00 › Response of biogeochemical tracers to ocean intrinsic variability - Sarah Berthet, CNRM GMGEC/EST  
10:00 - 10:20 › Probabilistic Study of the subtropical North Atlantic variability - Ixetl Garcia, Institut des Geosciences de l'Environnement (IGE)  
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break (Lliboutry conference room)  
11:00 - 12:30 Intrinsic variability : AMOC — predictability (Lliboutry conference room)  
11:00 - 11:20 › Intrinsic and atmospherically-forced variability of the AMOC: insights from a large ensemble ocean hindcast - stephanie leroux, Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement  
11:20 - 11:40 › Chaotic vs externally forced variability of the Atlantic Meridional overturning circulation on intra and inter-annual timescales. - Agathe Germe, National Oceanography Centre  
11:40 - 12:00 › Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variability in forced COREII versus coupled CMIP5 simulations - Eric Chassignet, COAPS/FSU  
12:00 - 12:20 › Impact of mesoscale turbulence on oceanic predictability in an optimal dissimilation framework - Simon Müller, Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton  
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch (Lliboutry conference room)  
14:00 - 15:30 Model uncertainties and stochastic parameterizations (Lliboutry conference room)  
14:00 - 14:20 › Downscaling model errors in the Bay of Biscay - Malek Ghantous, Laboratoire d'études en Géophysique et océanographie spatiales  
14:20 - 14:40 › A generic approach to explicit simulation of uncertainty in the NEMO ocean model - Jean-Michel Brankart, IGE/MEOM  
14:40 - 15:00 › Bayesian Analysis of a New Model of Ocean Heat Uptake - Balu Nadiga, Los Alamos National Laboratory [Los Alamos]  
15:00 - 15:20 › Ocean Turbulence: parametrizations, uncertainty and stochasticity - Laure Zanna, Oxford  
15:30 - 16:00 Break  
16:00 - 17:30 Open discussion — Wrap-up (Lliboutry conference room)  
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